Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

U.S. Treasury yields extended their fall, albeit only slightly, after U.S. ISM business manufacturing PMI data came in below forecasts.

Mortgage borrowers received long-awaited good news in September when the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate for the first time in 2025. Even before the Fed's decision, though, the market ...